几十年来，中国共产党一直坚持宣称台湾是中国不可分割的一部分，而美国在某种程度上似乎默许了这一说法。然而，这一论点经不起哪怕最基本的推敲，既缺乏真正的历史依据，也没有法律或事实上的正当性。
中共企图吞并台湾的理由，不过是建立在暴力、宣传和外交恐吓之上的一场骗局。尽管北京不断鼓吹台湾是所谓的“叛乱省份”，但事实很简单：中华人民共和国自成立以来，从未统治过台湾，哪怕一天都没有。
自1949年以来，台湾一直由中华民国政府统治，并在国际上被普遍称为“台湾”。中共从未掌控过台湾的土地、人民或政府机构。那么，北京口中的“台独运动”到底是什么？这不过是中共为合理化自身扩张主义野心而刻意制造的一个“妖怪”。
台湾政府无论政治光谱如何变化，都始终坚持台湾是一个完整的、自治的、民主国家。台北无需宣布“独立”，因为它本就已是一个独立国家——中华民国在台湾。台湾拥有民选领导人、繁荣的经济以及捍卫自身主权的军队。无论北京如何愤怒，台湾都是一个具有现实意义的国家。
中共常常引用中美三份联合公报，声称华盛顿支持其“一个中国”原则。但事实并非如此。美国只是“承认”中国提出了这一主张，并未“同意”这一立场。华盛顿的对台政策始终牢牢建立在《台湾关系法》和“六项保证”之上，而台北也明确拒绝承认中国对台湾的主权。这些政策同时也确保了美国对台湾防务的承诺。
信息已经十分明确：台湾的未来必须由两岸人民以和平、无胁迫的方式协商决定。如果中国企图以武力吞并台湾，那不仅将违反国际准则，还会严重威胁全球稳定。
为了支撑其不合理的主张，北京一再扭曲历史。它声称历代中国王朝对台湾的统治证明台湾属于中国，但历史事实却并非如此。台湾的统治者曾包括荷兰、西班牙、日本，以及部分中国政权。如果以古代历史作为主权认定标准，那么中国是否也该为蒙古人和满族人长期的外来统治负责？
现代国际社会对主权的定义基于国际法和民族自决权，而非断章取义的历史叙述。台湾2300万公民的态度十分明确：他们拒绝接受中共统治。
北京声称其对台湾的企图是出于维护“国家领土完整”的需要，但其实际行动却暴露了这一说法的虚伪。自1949年以来，中国主动将大片领土割让给意识形态盟友，如共产主义的苏联和蒙古。如果领土统一真是中共的核心目标，那为何这些土地从未成为其争夺的重点？显然，中共对台湾的执念与“主权”无关。
中国的外交政策充满了自相矛盾。它拒绝承认“一个中国，一个台湾”，但当年却能坦然接受东、西德并存的事实。它在1992年对朝鲜承认韩国一事保持沉默，却不允许台湾在国际社会拥有应有的地位。这种前后矛盾揭示了中共外交策略的本质——彻头彻尾的机会主义。
中共对台湾的威胁，本质上并非出于“国家统一”的考量，而是为了削弱美国在全球的领导地位，并挑战民主秩序。中共深知自己正与自由世界展开一场意识形态较量，而美国是其最主要的对手。作为一个蓬勃发展的民主国家，台湾在全球商业和技术革命中扮演着关键角色，同时也是美国的重要伙伴。因此，台湾的存在对中共的威权模式构成了直接挑战，这正是北京不惜一切要控制台湾的原因。
中共一次又一次地故意激化台海局势，以此向美国施压，并增强自身在全球的影响力。从20世纪50年代炮击台湾离岛，到1995-1996年的台海导弹危机，再到今天几乎每天的军事挑衅，中国始终在试探华盛顿的底线。每一次危机的目的都如出一辙——削弱美国的国际信誉，动摇其对台湾及整个亚太民主秩序的承诺。
如今，北京仍在如法炮制，试图通过军事威胁迫使美国在谈判中让步。中国希望利用台海紧张局势，迫使华盛顿减少对台北的支持，进而削弱其全球领导力。但除了地缘政治，中共对台湾的兴趣还有一个更加现实的动机——台湾在全球半导体产业中的主导地位。
台湾是全球芯片制造巨头台积电（TSMC）的所在地，而台积电几乎垄断了世界最先进的半导体生产。全球经济严重依赖这一行业。如果北京控制台湾，不仅会重创民主世界，还将使中国在关键技术领域掌握巨大优势，加速其全球霸权的野心。
归根结底，中共的侵略行为并非为了“民族团结”，而是为了阻止另一种“中国模式”——一个自由、民主、繁荣的华人社会——在其掌控之外蓬勃发展。
台湾的存在证明了一个事实：即便没有中共的极权统治，中国社会同样可以繁荣、自由、民主。这正是台湾不仅对其人民，而且对整个世界都至关重要的原因。
・ Yu 是哈德逊学院中国中心主任,也是胡佛学院的访问研究员,他的 “红色地平线” 专栏每隔一个星期二出现在《华盛顿时报》上。
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A War Built on Fiction: China’s Baseless Claim over Taiwan
Washington has never acknowledged China’s “one-China principle.”
Miles Yu
Senior Fellow and Director, China Center
For decades, the Chinese Communist Party has pushed the tired claim that Taiwan is an inseparable part of China and that the U.S. has somehow pledged to endorse this fantasy. But this argument falls apart under even the slightest scrutiny. It has no real historical, legal, or factual legitimacy.
The CCP’s justification for its aggression toward Taiwan is nothing more than smoke and mirrors — held up by brute force, propaganda and diplomatic intimidation.
Despite Beijing’s constant drumbeat about Taiwan being a “renegade province,” the truth is simple: The People’s Republic of China has never ruled Taiwan. Not for a single day.
Since 1949, Taiwan has operated under the governance of the Republic of China (ROC), commonly known as Taiwan. The CCP has never controlled its land, its people or its institutions.
And the so-called “Taiwan independence movement” that Beijing rails against? It’s a bogeyman created to justify its own expansionist ambitions.
Taiwan’s government — across all political lines — has consistently upheld that Taiwan is a fully functioning, self-governing, democratic nation. Taipei doesn’t need to declare independence because it already is an independent state: the Republic of China in Taiwan. With an elected leadership, a thriving economy and a military that will defend its sovereignty, Taiwan is a nation in every meaningful sense, no matter how much Beijing fumes about it.
The CCP likes to claim that Washington supports its “One-China Principle” through what are known as “The Three Communiques.” But that’s just not true. Washington has only ever acknowledged that China makes this claim — it has never agreed with it.
The U.S. position remains firmly rooted in the Taiwan Relations Act and “Six Assurances” given to Taipei, which explicitly reject any recognition of Chinese sovereignty over Taiwan. These policies also affirm America’s commitment to Taiwan’s defense.
The message is clear: Taiwan’s future must be determined peacefully, through mutual agreement, and without coercion. If China tries to take Taiwan by force, it will be violating international norms and threatening global stability.
To justify its claim, Beijing plays fast and loose with history, pointing to past Chinese dynasties as proof that Taiwan belongs to China. But history doesn’t work that way.
Taiwan’s past rulers have included the Dutch, Spanish, Japanese, and, at times, certain Chinese regimes. If ancient history were the standard for sovereignty, China would have to answer for its own long periods of foreign rule by the Mongols and Manchus.
The modern world defines sovereignty based on international law and self-determination — not cherry-picked historical claims. And Taiwan’s 23 million citizens have made their stance abundantly clear: They reject CCP rule.
Beijing also contends that its pursuit of Taiwan is about protecting China’s territorial integrity, but its own actions betray this claim. Since 1949, China has voluntarily ceded vast swaths of land to other ideologically aligned nations, including communist Russia and Mongolia, without making a fuss.
If territorial unity were really the goal, why didn’t China fight for those lands? The truth is, the CCP’s Taiwan obsession isn’t about sovereignty.
China’s own diplomatic history is riddled with contradictions. It refuses to acknowledge “One China, One Taiwan,” yet it had no problem recognizing both East and West Germany. It ignored its impoverished ally North Korea to recognize South Korea in 1992. These inconsistencies reveal the CCP’s foreign policy for what it is: sheer opportunism.
At its core, China’s aggression toward Taiwan isn’t about national unity — it’s about undermining the U.S. and the global democratic order. The CCP views itself as locked in an ideological battle with the free world, with America as its main adversary. Taiwan, a thriving democracy, a crucial player in global commerce and tech revolution, and a key U.S. partner, stands as a direct challenge to Beijing’s authoritarian model. That’s why the CCP is so determined to bring it under control.
Time and again, the CCP has deliberately escalated tensions in the Taiwan Strait to pressure the U.S. and boost its own global influence.
From the artillery bombardments of Taiwan-controlled islands in the 1950s to the 1995-96 missile crisis and today’s near-daily military provocations, China has repeatedly tested Washington’s resolve. Each crisis has had the same goal: to undermine U.S. credibility and weaken its commitment to Taiwan and the broader democratic order in Asia.
Today, China is still playing the same game — using military intimidation to push the U.S. into a weaker negotiating position. By ramping up tensions around Taiwan, China hopes to coerce Washington into backing off its support for Taipei and, in turn, weakening its global leadership.
But there’s another more calculated motive: Taiwan’s world-leading semiconductor industry. Taiwan is home to giants like TSMC, which dominates high-end microchip production — an industry the entire global economy depends on. If China seizes control of Taiwan, it wouldn’t just be a blow to democracy. It would give Beijing a stranglehold over a critical technology sector, accelerating its march toward global dominance.
China’s aggression isn’t about preserving national unity — it’s about stopping an alternative Chinese identity from thriving beyond the CCP’s control.
Taiwan is living proof that a Chinese society can be free, prosperous, and democratic without the CCP’s iron grip. That’s why Taiwan matters—not just to its own people but to the world.
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